Bitcoin Ends 5-Month Slump, Will It Recreate Past 200% Surge?

▲ Bitcoin (BTC) ©CoinReaders

Bitcoin, the market leader, has finally broken the dreadful chain of five consecutive monthly declines, drawing keen attention to whether it can recreate the glory of its past 200% surge. However, a მძიმე macroeconomic environment marked by sticky inflation and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East is expected to be a key variable determining the extent of any upward rally.

According to investment outlet The Motley Fool on April 10 (local time), Bitcoin (BTC) dramatically closed up 1.8% on the last day of March, halting a prolonged five-month downturn that began in October of last year. Although Bitcoin struggled after falling about 45% from its all-time high of $126,000 recorded in October 2025, it narrowly avoided the dishonor of posting six consecutive months of losses, something that has happened only once in its history.

The market is paying attention to this rebound due to a powerful sense of déjà vu from the past. After the only six-month losing streak in Bitcoin’s history, which lasted from August 2018 to January 2019, the cryptocurrency staged a dramatic recovery, soaring more than 200% in a short period from around $3,400 to over $13,000 between February and June 2019. Although the current downturn stopped at five months, expectations are growing that the explosive rally pattern seen after investor patience was pushed to the limit could be repeated once again.

However, today’s macroeconomic and geopolitical backdrop is markedly different from the relatively calm market conditions of 2018. Oil prices have continued to surge in the aftermath of the war involving Iran, and the outlook for temporary ceasefire negotiations remains uncertain. Adding to this, inflationary pressures fueled by rising energy prices have made the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut path—potentially favorable for risk assets such as cryptocurrencies—even more unclear.

Nevertheless, Bitcoin has demonstrated remarkable resilience amid such intense turmoil and uncertainty. Throughout the Iran conflict, it maintained a solid trading range between $65,000 and $73,000, and at times even outperformed traditional stock markets despite a sharp rise in global oil prices.

The outlet advised that despite short-term market uncertainty, cautious optimism may benefit those planning to invest for more than five years. Wars and the resulting economic disruptions eventually come to an end, and steadily accumulating Bitcoin as part of a diversified portfolio could yield substantial returns when the next bull market arrives.

*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses incurred based on it. The content should be interpreted solely for informational purposes.*